Completed season
Innocent Hormuz
From physical passage to the legal, insurance and market structures governing commercial access.
Explore Season 1 →GSSI Research · Publication
Sovereign Risk Weekly
A dated analytical record of how sovereign systems change, which institutions acquire practical authority, and where those changes reach transactions, portfolios, disputes and claims.
Current and completed work
Follow the argument in its dated context.
Each season has its own question. The record grows when an edition is published; earlier judgments remain available so readers can see what changed.
Current season · West Asia
The West Asia Thesis: The Contest for Regional Order
Several projects are competing to turn leverage into institutions, corridors, security arrangements and market terms that others must navigate.
Explore Season 2 →Latest edition · 7 October 2026
Edition 1. The opening test of the contest for regional order.
Read Edition 1 →How to read the record
Judgment, evidence, revision.
Each published edition makes an argument against a dated record. Material changes and corrections should be explicit, with the original judgment preserved.
GSSI’s evidence approach →